Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.005122 0.005405 0.005697 0.006023 0.006375 0.006746 0.007167
2025-12-14 0.004633 0.005045 0.005490 0.006010 0.006603 0.007261 0.008052
2025-12-21 0.004213 0.004678 0.005196 0.005818 0.006551 0.007396 0.008453
2025-12-28 0.004008 0.004523 0.005111 0.005836 0.006716 0.007763 0.009122
2026-01-04 0.003869 0.004429 0.005081 0.005903 0.006929 0.008186 0.009874
2026-01-11 0.003697 0.004280 0.004971 0.005860 0.006994 0.008417 0.010387
2026-01-18 0.003562 0.004167 0.004895 0.005848 0.007089 0.008685 0.010957
2026-01-25 0.003424 0.004043 0.004795 0.005798 0.007126 0.008872 0.011422
2026-02-01 0.003375 0.004023 0.004825 0.005911 0.007380 0.009358 0.012334
2026-02-08 0.003271 0.003930 0.004755 0.005887 0.007444 0.009583 0.012883
2026-02-15 0.003184 0.003854 0.004702 0.005882 0.007531 0.009841 0.013495
2026-02-22 0.003071 0.003740 0.004593 0.005794 0.007496 0.009918 0.013831
2026-03-01 0.002968 0.003636 0.004497 0.005721 0.007478 0.010022 0.014221
2026-03-08 0.002895 0.003570 0.004448 0.005710 0.007551 0.010263 0.014848
2026-03-15 0.002765 0.003423 0.004284 0.005531 0.007366 0.010101 0.014796
2026-03-22 0.002714 0.003380 0.004259 0.005548 0.007471 0.010389 0.015522
2026-03-29 0.002682 0.003361 0.004267 0.005611 0.007647 0.010798 0.016489
2026-04-05 0.002616 0.003295 0.004206 0.005570 0.007662 0.010947 0.017006
2026-04-12 0.002564 0.003245 0.004167 0.005559 0.007721 0.011170 0.017674
2026-04-19 0.002503 0.003181 0.004105 0.005513 0.007720 0.011292 0.018162
2026-04-26 0.002493 0.003188 0.004144 0.005618 0.007965 0.011844 0.019528
2026-05-03 0.002444 0.003139 0.004100 0.005595 0.008003 0.012038 0.020203
2026-05-10 0.002403 0.003099 0.004069 0.005591 0.008068 0.012284 0.021007